If Israel were to stop that genocidal, theocratic, unstable government from acquiring nuclear weapons, it would be a gift by the Jewish state to humanity.

Pierre Poilievre (Canada’s Conservative Party leader)

I’ll bet dollars to doughnuts that Israel’s war cabinet is praying former president Trump wins this year’s election to reverse the pussification of its American ally. To wit, Biden’s appeasement put at least $32 billion in petrodollars in Iran’s war chest, hightailing it out of Kabul left $7 billion in armaments to the Taliban, and DEI promotions have allowed law-abiding Jews to be physically and verbally threatened on US soil. Then, Kamala Harris refused on 60 Minutes to say Israeli PM Netanyahu is “a really close ally” of the USA. 

Got it? After arguably enkindling the October 7 Hamas attack upon Israel, Biden and Harris threw Israel under the bus to win Arab-American votes in Michigan. It’s hard to say for sure whose side the President is on, because he’s flip-flopped from showing solidarity on Israeli soil just weeks after Hamas attacked to hoisting his aides on Israel’s War Cabinet, publicly criticizing that cabinet’s decisions, and whining to the world about Israel’s targets – when he should chide Arab-Americans in that creepy whisper: you live in Michigan now – not Palestine!

Biden’s actions left Netanyahu no choice but to go it alone. In February, Biden criticized Israel’s “over the top” response to the Hamas attacks. In May, National Security Advisor Sullivan, without asking anything of Hamas, demanded that “Israel can and must do more” to spare Gazans. This from a hapless president that lifted Trump’s sanctions on Iran, stalled the Abraham Accords, left Afghan allies behind, reversed Trump’s effective immigration policies, and fumbled the response to Hurricane Helene. Bibi’s thought bubble: if that’s how he cares for Americans, Israel doesn’t need such an ally.

After Harris proclaimed a meaningless alliance “between the American people and the Israeli people” on 60 Minutes, Netanyahu would be derelict to trust her. Seriously, she’s vacillated from “pushing” Netanyahu for a cease-fire in July to telling CNN’s Dana Bash in August that she’s been “unequivocal and unwavering in my commitment to Israel’s ability to defend itself.” By September – in full campaign mode – she was decrying “the scale of human suffering in Gaza” and running campaign ads declaring “I will not be silent – our common humanity compels us to act.”

And, if not for Republican congressional hearings and threats from Jewish donors, a Nazi Revival would be A-OK with Biden’s left-liberal comrades presiding over America’s elite universities; where pro-Hamas demonstrators spew anti-semitic slogans, harass Jewish faculty and students, occupy college buildings, and interrupt academic sessions. It’s a pitiful state of the union when wealthy Jewish alumni have to discipline anti-semitic college presidents because Joe Biden won’t withhold federal funds.

And, it’s a pitiful state of the union when Israel has to take out a Hezbollah terrorist with a $7 million American bounty on his head since 1983, when he was central to the Beirut terrorist attack that killed nearly 400 US soldiers and civilians. If Kamala is serious about stopping misinformation and advancing truth – here’s an obvious truth: Bibi Netanyahu is a better commander in chief and ally to America than she will ever be! Look in the mirror, Kamala: the Biden-Harris national-safety record is pathetic.

In March 2021, the President tapped “Kamala Harris to lead the White House effort to tackle the migration challenge at the southern border and address root causes of the problem – her first big opportunity to step to the front of the stage on a matter of enormous consequence” (source: AP). Oops! Under Trump, the 4-year average of illegal-border-crossing encounters was 495,000, while the 3-year average under Biden-Harris has been 1,980,000. Netanyahu would be nuts NOT to prefer (competent) Trump to (incompetent) Harris.

In October 2021, President Biden learned of Russia’s Ukraine invasion plans. He whined to aids – “Jesus Christ! Now I’ve got to deal with Russia swallowing Ukraine?” – before confronting Putin with the intelligence twice (source: War by Bob Woodward). So, Russia invades Ukraine in February 2022 anyway. Ukraine has now lost 70,000 combatants and 12,000 civilians, suffered 100,000 military and 25,000 civilian injuries, and “military assistance” has cost the US $61.3 billion (that we don’t have). The Washington Post reported in June that “nearly half of Ukrainians believe the war with Russia is at a stalemate.”

And what of Netanyahu? Since October 2023, all Israel’s done is put on a clinic in neutering one’s enemies:

  • December 2023 – killed Iranian paramilitary adviser Seyed Razi Mousavi by drone in Damascus
  • January 2024 – killed top Hamas official Saleh al-Arouri by drone in Beirut, and Hezbollah unit commander Hassan al-Tawil by airstrike in Lebanon
  • April 2024 – killed two Iranian generals by airstrike on Iran’s consulate in Syria
  • July 2024 – killed Hamas military commander Mohammed Deif and political leader Ismail Haniyeh by airstrikes, and assassinated Hezbollah commander Fouad Shukr
  • September 2024 – killed 50 Hezbollah soldiers in Lebanon with 5,000 booby-trapped pagers, killed Iran-backed militia commander Haider al-Khafaji by airstrike in Damascus, killed Hezbollah commanders Ibrahim Aqil and Ibrahim Qubaisi, and Hezbollah leader Sayyid Hassan Nasrallah, by airstrikes in Beirut
  • October 2024 – IDF ground forces killed Hezbollah’s logistics chief Hussein Husseini

If Mexican cartels were flooding Israel with drugs, prostitutes, and weapons, Netanyahu would’ve killed thousands of thugs by now – and maybe Putin would have taken a poisoned COVID vaccine already. But no – the USA is yoked to the Destabilizing Duo (she won’t make a decision, and he makes bad ones) until January. So, Bibi’s emulating Churchill’s June 1940 promise to “outlive the menace of tyranny, if necessary for years, if necessary alone…until, in God’s good time, the New World, with all its power and might, steps forth to the rescue” (with a new American president, no doubt).

And, like Churchill, Netanyahu’s aim is victory – at all costs – over Hamas and Hezbollah, so he has no intention of heeding Biden’s and Blinken’s partisan advice, or spending an amateur hour with Harris. Bibi’s going to decapitate Hamas and Hezbollah, and destroy every tunnel and missile battery; so, he hopes Trump takes over in January 2025. He may be in luck.

NEW FEATURE: ELECTION FORECAST COUNTDOWN

To combat the polling clutter, every post through November 3 will end with election forecasts, based on my own data analysis (let’s see how accurate it is). Right now, it’s bearish on Harris (see table below).

2024 Election Forecast
Eligible Voters Registered Voters Total Votes (est.) Trump (est.) Harris (est.)
Popular Vote 244.1M 186.5M 143.9M 76.9M 78.5M
Battleground States 7 0
Electoral Votes 539 312 227

If my numbers don’t square with MSNBC, don’t scoff. Concrete changes from 2020 support my analysis, starting with Gallup’s latest breakdown of registered voters: 29% Republican and 30% Democrat. Further, state records show a GOP registration advantage of 130,000 in Arizona, 59,000 in Nevada, 283,000 in North Carolina, and 250,000 in Pennsylvania. This should result in a popular-vote mix of 48% Republican and 49% Democrat. But, because 36.5% of registered Democrats reside in California and New York, a one-point popular-vote advantage does not help Democrats’ electoral-college math.

The news gets better: Pew Research just reported that 64% of registered Democrats plan to vote in-person (up from 50% in 2020) and only 27% plan to vote-by-mail (down from 47% in 2020). Fewer mail-in ballots equates to improved election integrity; one reason my battleground numbers align with the Trump campaign’s internal polling from Thursday (AZ +3, GA +5, MI +2, NC +1, NV +3, PA +1, WI +1).

Check back next week for an updated election forecast, which will also dig into control of the Senate.